Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.131959 0.147434 0.164583 0.185104 0.209135 0.236559 0.270473
2024-10-06 0.114292 0.136136 0.162529 0.197243 0.242429 0.300307 0.381835
2024-10-13 0.096581 0.120549 0.151436 0.195153 0.257146 0.344744 0.483495
2024-10-20 0.085481 0.110877 0.145414 0.197487 0.277208 0.400662 0.620151
2024-10-27 0.075055 0.100243 0.135948 0.192545 0.284782 0.439150 0.743344
2024-11-03 0.070031 0.096285 0.135080 0.199815 0.312511 0.517842 0.973306
2024-11-10 0.065574 0.092444 0.133616 0.205543 0.338580 0.601399 1.257989
2024-11-17 0.060177 0.086465 0.127884 0.202883 0.348496 0.656058 1.508059
2024-11-24 0.055062 0.080354 0.121126 0.197195 0.351109 0.695783 1.745125
2024-12-01 0.049712 0.073356 0.112105 0.185988 0.340111 0.700850 1.883540
2024-12-08 0.046794 0.070052 0.108997 0.185418 0.351490 0.764492 2.269536
2024-12-15 0.044939 0.068327 0.108414 0.189601 0.374302 0.866887 2.907782
2024-12-22 0.041968 0.064585 0.104062 0.186037 0.379549 0.926398 3.460986
2024-12-29 0.040772 0.063818 0.105094 0.193938 0.415322 1.098137 4.889647
2025-01-05 0.038223 0.060456 0.100917 0.189988 0.419745 1.170490 5.906194
2025-01-12 0.036536 0.058501 0.099238 0.191364 0.439212 1.309718 7.820106
2025-01-19 0.034309 0.055393 0.094999 0.186237 0.438987 1.373737 9.334386
2025-01-26 0.033493 0.054822 0.095751 0.193008 0.476262 1.623660 14.151589
2025-02-02 0.032592 0.054011 0.095918 0.198391 0.511236 1.896580 21.746390
2025-02-09 0.031055 0.051872 0.093107 0.195813 0.519218 2.040442 28.761507
2025-02-16 0.029400 0.049397 0.089379 0.190366 0.515989 2.121944 35.657001
2025-02-23 0.027432 0.046206 0.083893 0.179656 0.491611 2.062438 37.592224
2025-03-02 0.026423 0.044845 0.082269 0.179109 0.504605 2.253124 53.912411